Map of Missouri by Presidential Voting over 40 years according to county


Red is consistant Republican victories.
Lt Red voted for the Rep Pres candidate except during Democratic landslides.
Violet are those states who voted for Democrats during Democratic victories
Sky Blue are counties voting Republican during republican victories
Medium Blue vote Democratic except during Republican landslides
Blue vote Democratic all the time
Dark Blue is St Louis and is perponderantly democratic.

I'll add the geographic information from the Survey USA poll I examined in my last post.
They divide the state into four regions: St Louis/East, Kansas City Area, Ozarks, and Central. From my map, I would divide Missouri into three districts. North, SW, and SE. Anyway...
StL: 306 likely voters, 43% for Bush, 51.6% for Kerry
KC: 141 likely voters, 44.7% for Bush, 51.8% for Kerry
Ozark: 122 likely voters, 57.4% for Bush, 36.9% for Kerry
Central: 75 likely voters, 56.2% for Bush, 30.7% for Kerry

Ozark seems to be the 18 counties in the south west, and I have to guess that Central at least includes the 9 counties in the center of the state that are Red. The Central results are so similar to the Ozarks its hard to figure out where everything north of the Missouri River is allocated.

The area just south of KC which is violet, that's in Ike Skelton's district. I suspect that if Ike were to retire and a Republican take the seat, the area would begin to drift into the solidly red column. A big chunk of his district always votes Republican at the top of the ticket and is happy to send this Truman Democrat to Congress every two years. Skelton is the only Democrat elected in 2002 who was not in KC or StL. See the Secretary of State for Missouri map of the districts of federal representation. The 1st district is St Louis and has elected William Clay with 70% in 2002. The 3rd district is Dick Gephardt's district. He won with 59% in 2002. The 5th district is Kansas City. Karen McCarthy won there with 66%. Those are all safe democratic areas. There is no question in the 1st and 5th districts. It will be interesting to see what happens in the 3rd district when Gephardt has retired. Over at the Arch City Chronicle they have an interesting breakdown of the 3rd district. The Republican, Federer, ran against Gephardt in 2000 and got 40% of the vote. Russ Carnahan won the primary, so will meet Federer in November. Carnahan is the son of Mel (former governor) and Jean (former senator). So having covered the four districts currently in Democratic hands, let's turn to the other five.

The 2nd district is a suburban, affluent district, where the republican, Akin, won with 67% of the vote in 2002. The 6th district in NW Mo elected the Republican with 63%. The 7th district, the Ozarks, sent Roy Blunt, the Majority Whip, to Congress with 75% of the vote. In the SE, Emerson won with 72% of the vote. The 9th is NE Mo, Hulshof won with 68%. All were incumbants. Results from CNN.